Using data to boost admission probability or avoid unwelcome surprises

Folks who know me consider me somewhat of a data freak.  I love to dive into a spreadsheet and see what story the numbers tell.  While a stroll through a college campus can provide a college planner intel, so can the trends that exist behind the scenes, which is where our investment in specialized resources help our clients.

We’ve taken a look at our coverage universe and identified schools with notable admission rate differences between the Class of 2021 and the Class of 2020.  In addition to providing the admission rates, we’ve included some commentary to explain why as well as links back to source articles.

The news from most of the schools listed points to falling admission rates, and depending on how you categorize schools, these changes may be enough to turn a likely school into a target or target to a reach. On the flip side, we’ve also identified a few schools where rates have gotten more favorable overall.

*information provided by College Kick-Start

Institution Admission Rate % Change  

2020 – 2021

Wellesley College Decreasing -28% Applications up 17%
Emory University – Oxford Decreasing -24% Applications up 63% admits up 25%
Tulane University Decreasing -20% Applications up 11%, admits down 8%,
University of Florida Decreasing -18% Applications up 8%, admits down 4%
Williams College Decreasing -17% Applications up 23%
Colby College Decreasing -16% Applications up 14%
Boston University Decreasing -14% Applications up 6%, admits down 10% due to smaller targeted class size and higher mix of class from early decision
Carleton College Decreasing -14% Admits down 11%
University of California – Riverside Decreasing -14% Admits down 11%
New York University Decreasing -13% Applications up 6%
University of California – Santa Cruz Decreasing -13% Applications up 8%, mix of non-residents rising
Emory University – Emory Decreasing -12% Applications up 19%
Georgia Institute of Technology Decreasing -12% Applications up 3%, admits down 7%
Vassar College Decreasing -12% Applications up 6%, admits down 10% due to higher mix of class from early decision
University of California – Irvine Decreasing -10% Applications up 9%
University of Virginia Decreasing -10% Applications up 14%
Wake Forest University Decreasing -10% Applications down 7%, higher mix of class from early decision (55% vs 40%, new EDII option)
University of California – Santa Barbara Decreasing -9% Applications up 6%, higher admit rates for non-residents
Connecticut College Rising rate 8% Applications down 8%
University of Pittsburgh Rising rate 9% Applications down 5%, admits up 2%
Oberlin College Rising rate 10% Admits up 15%
Scripps College Rising rate 10% Applications down 6%, admits up 5%, class size up 22%
American University Rising rate 11% Applications down 3%, admits up 8%
California State Polytechnic University – San Luis Obispo Rising rate 17% Admits up 18%
Kenyon College Rising rate 22% Applications down 12.5%
Grinnell College Rising rate 45% Applications down 20%, higher mix of ED admits in class
Betsy Greaney
Betsy loves data and how using information and technology can help a student understand his/her key college criteria and provide him/her the confidence and motivation to stretch beyond original ...
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